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本帖最后由 beiwei5du 于 2015-3-8 00:40 编辑
Leading animal health execs forecastindustry growth of 5% By JosephHarvey Published: 27 February 2015 11:07 AM
Senior animal health executives havepredicted steady industry growth of 4-5% during 2015, according to a recentBrakke Consulting survey. Brakke spoke to more than 40 seniorexecutives from various sized companies in late 2014. This prediction echoed that of BayerAnimal Health, which said in its full-year results it estimates global market growth foranimal health of 5% in 2015. This follows Bayer's estimate for industry growth of 3%during 2013. Zoetis said in last year's investor day that the animal healthsector grew 3.6% in 2013. According to animal health consultancy Vetnosis,the animal medicines and vaccines sector is projected to grow at a compoundannual growth rate of 5.7% per year between 2011 and 2016. The Brakke survey suggested Asia, andparticularly China, would be region of greatest growth. The senior executivessaid the US and Latin America would also be key areas for growth. Sales inEurope are expected to be flat or down slightly, the Brakke survey said. Brakke Consulting stated: "Longerterm, survey participants were very bullish on the animal health industry. Theyreported improving economic conditions around the world will create increasedneed for protein from livestock and poultry to feed a growth population, aswell as increased dog and cat numbers." Contraction inequine market The consultancy added: "Whileexecutives expect sales of both companion animal and food animal products toexpand, they foresee further contraction in the equine market. In the US,survey participants anticipate that beef and swine numbers will grow,rebounding from declines caused by drought (beef) and porcine epidemic diarrheavirus (swine)." The survey participants claimed the companion animal market may see theintroduction of new immunotherapy products, cancer treatments and parasite controltechnology. In the food animal sector, "vaccines are expected to head thenew product list". According to the Dallas, Texas-basedconsultancy's founder and chief executive Ron Brakke: "Executives ofsmaller companies tended to be more bullish about 2015 and beyond than largercompanies. Their optimism may be driven in part by new technologies they aredeveloping." Positive impactof IPOs Following the recent spate of initialpublic offerings (IPOs) in the animal health industry since 2013, the sectorhas benefitted in two ways, the survey concluded. Firstly, the increased number of IPOs hascreated incentive for investors and financial analysts to learn more about theindustry and secondly, the influx of investment has allowed companies todevelop new technologies and expand sales.
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